Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 94.474725 105.073661 115.839416 127.562773 139.939467 152.589481 166.467972
2025-08-17 76.536885 91.770805 107.873084 126.038590 145.844891 166.678437 190.144029
2025-08-24 66.549788 84.450233 103.932074 126.460517 151.560789 178.457281 209.253504
2025-08-31 57.791347 77.400040 99.329089 125.255259 154.687735 186.723743 223.904177
2025-09-07 52.247484 73.387208 97.590727 126.740661 160.341227 197.371580 240.803917
2025-09-14 47.820377 70.239917 96.470904 128.590370 166.110420 207.903485 257.360115
2025-09-21 42.563884 65.637186 93.265229 127.682092 168.433112 214.310086 269.076355
2025-09-28 37.193506 60.464126 89.022272 125.233895 168.697954 218.146482 277.682107
2025-10-05 35.636440 60.042851 90.489457 129.542190 176.824600 230.973309 296.513850
2025-10-12 33.494156 58.672461 90.638118 132.136994 182.833244 241.284182 312.412174
2025-10-19 30.176616 55.474034 88.285266 131.497818 184.843766 246.830461 322.724932
2025-10-26 27.187033 52.506682 86.059086 130.872156 186.753336 252.166588 332.718267
2025-11-02 24.935947 50.463480 84.972665 131.653462 190.387871 259.588899 345.233467
2025-11-09 22.287969 47.642510 82.711436 130.829212 191.971759 264.520347 354.794544
2025-11-16 20.277738 45.618073 81.408576 131.142920 194.888112 270.988593 366.122964
2025-11-23 17.950709 42.907032 79.021753 129.930939 195.811812 274.992016 374.478304
2025-11-30 16.664573 41.756455 78.745293 131.444813 200.123619 283.069069 387.665763
2025-12-07 15.589406 40.866451 78.781923 133.334003 204.883124 291.675127 401.479783
2025-12-14 13.817927 38.637233 76.782919 132.406529 205.992200 295.778920 409.864378
2025-12-21 11.804638 35.771581 73.708825 129.906526 204.994977 297.230001 415.001469
2025-12-28 11.644109 36.278108 75.661420 134.305726 212.918100 309.691043 433.451739
2026-01-04 11.078853 35.973649 76.360480 136.954660 218.561249 319.332015 448.495634
2026-01-11 9.810571 34.192020 74.727536 136.302193 219.859654 323.555251 456.947115